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China’s Energy Edge Puts US AI At Risk

ChatGPT app spending hits $2 billion, UnitedHealth surges on Buffett stake, and Spain battles 14 wildfires amid extreme heat.

Welcome back to your daily memorandum talking tech, business, AI, markets, and more. 🗞️

In today’s edition we are tackling the following:

📱 ChatGPT mobile app tops $2 billion in global spending since May 2023.
🏥 UnitedHealth jumps nearly 14% after Berkshire Hathaway investment.
🔥 Spain fights 14 wildfires, burning over 157,000 hectares.
📉 AI automation halves entry-level tech job openings since 2019.
📱 Meta AI app delivers inconsistent performance months after launch.

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TECHNOLOGY

  • Sam Altman on GPT-5 missteps, future AGI ambitions, and acquisitions

    • Altman acknowledged GPT-5’s rocky rollout, announced reinstating GPT-4o in response to emotional user attachment.

    • Shared expansion plans including ChatGPT-powered social media, consumer hardware, BCI ventures and data center investments.

    • Suggested potential interest in buying Chrome if available due to antitrust fallout, highlighting aggressive OpenAI growth vision.

  • Meta’s AI app still struggles with uneven performance months after launch

    • Meta AI app continues delivering inconsistent user experiences and weak personalization despite lofty corporate AI ambitions.

    • App iteration seems rushed rebrand of smart-glasses companion, falling behind generative AI benchmarks and expectations.

    • Signals that Meta must rapidly close feature and quality gap to compete with market leaders like OpenAI.

  • ChatGPT mobile app crossed $2B in consumer spending

    • ChatGPT mobile app has generated $2 billion in spending since May 2023, far outpacing AI app competitors.

    • Average revenue per install stands at $2.91, with lifetime installations around 690 million globally so far.

    • Monthly revenue is approaching $193 million, showcasing sustained user engagement and dominance in mobile AI app monetization.

BUSINESS

  • Opendoor hunts for new CEO as Wheeler steps down, lifting shares

    • Carrie Wheeler stepped down as CEO; interim leader Shrisha Radhakrishna was appointed and a search began.

    • Opendoor stock surged over 10%, reflecting investor optimism amid leadership change and continuation of retail momentum.

    • Shareholders hope new leadership will guide the company through its ‘meme stock’ phase toward long-term growth stability.

  • UnitedHealth shares soar after Buffett’s new stake provides a vote of confidence

    • Berkshire Hathaway acquired around 5 million UnitedHealth shares, causing stock to rise nearly 14% on investor reassurance.

    • The stake signals confidence in UnitedHealth’s recovery despite investigations and cost pressures weighing on earnings.

    • The bump lifted healthcare stocks broadly and reinforced Buffett’s track record of bold, countercyclical investments.

  • Family offices pull back from private markets as equities regain favor

    • Family offices are shifting asset allocation from private equity toward public stocks amid liquidity and valuation concerns.

    • Executives cite high PE pricing and refreshed equity momentum as primary drivers of the capital rebalancing trend.

    • The change reflects risk recalibration and preference for more transparent, flexible investments in uncertain conditions.

MARKETS

S&P

6,477.38

+0.14%

NASDAQ

21,709.34

–0.01%

Dow

45,159.91

+0.55%

10-Year

4.31%

↓ ~0.01 pp

Bitcoin

119,186.31

–2.30%

Gold

3,372.10

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WORLD

  • Spain at 'extreme risk' of new wildfires as 14 blazes spread

    • Spain battles 14 large fires amid 40°C heatwave and strong winds, prompting extreme fire alerts nationwide.

    • The blazes have burned over 157,000 hectares—double the average—and disrupted transport and raised evacuation calls.

    • Officials reported arrests for suspected arson and illegal fire causes, highlighting widespread fire-risk conditions and unrest.

  • Trump vows to free Jimmy Lai as Hong Kong court nears verdict

    • Closing arguments conclude in Jimmy Lai’s national security trial, a case drawing global attention and political pressure.

    • Trump pledges to secure Lai’s release if reelected, escalating tensions with Beijing ahead of the verdict.

    • The verdict could redefine Hong Kong’s media freedom, influencing U.S.–China relations and international human rights discourse.

  • What a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire deal could mean for global markets

    • Markets anticipate that a possible ceasefire in Ukraine could stabilize commodities, spurring gains in oil and grain prices.

    • Currency and equity markets could rally as geopolitical uncertainty eases, boosting investor confidence globally.

    • Analysts warn that the ceasefire's terms and sustainability will determine longer-term economic implications across regions.

CONTENT

  • China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI?

    • Casey Handmer argues AI’s energy demands could be met primarily by solar, challenging common natural gas assumptions.

    • Discusses building massive solar-powered data centers and overcoming regulatory barriers to clean energy adoption.

    • Explains why AGI’s value should be measured in total energy use rather than traditional GDP metrics.

  • The sales playbook for founders

    • Tom Blomfield shares a B2B sales process from free trials to securing recurring revenue contracts.

    • Covers avoiding common early-stage mistakes and identifying genuine customer problems before building solutions.

    • Provides tactics for overcoming objections, securing financial commitments, and ensuring customer success post-sale.

  • Vibe coding through the GPT-5 mess

    • Vergecast hosts dissect GPT-5’s underwhelming launch and challenges compared to GPT-4’s improvements.

    • Team shares personal ‘vibe coding’ projects, navigating AI limitations and making tools actually usable.

    • Corporate Shenanigans segment reviews recent tech industry moves, from Perplexity to Apple and Elon Musk.

FUTURISM

  • AI is gutting the next generation of talent: In tech, job openings for new grads have already been halved

    • Entry level tech positions have been reduced by roughly 50 percent since 2019 due to widespread AI automation.

    • Internship to full-time conversion rates fell below 51 percent in 2023–24, particularly harming hybrid interns.

    • Experts warn reduced hands-on opportunities threaten leadership pipelines and future managerial capacity in tech sectors.

  • AI is moving into the apartment market

    • AI is streamlining leasing, maintenance, and marketing, replacing manual processes with automation across multifamily housing.

    • Virtual leasing agents and automated underwriting tools help operators cut costs and improve efficiency in property management.

    • Adoption remains early and expensive, with fragmentation among landlords slowing AI’s broader impact in the rental sector.

  • How data centers and grid strain affect U.S. infrastructure amid AI expansion

    • Experts observing AI hubs in China note U.S. grid limitations drastically hinder America’s AI infrastructure growth.

    • China’s vast energy reserves offer a strategic advantage; U.S. grid suffers from underinvestment and fragmented governance.

    • Without major infrastructure upgrades, the U.S. risks falling permanently behind in the global AI race.

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EXTRAS

  • Perplexity’s bid for Google Chrome could be just the beginning

    • Perplexity offered $34.5 billion in cash to buy Google Chrome amid DOJ antitrust remedy discussions.

    • The bid suggests Perplexity’s ambition for broader distribution amid limited user adoption despite intense tech buzz.

    • Offer raises questions about financial backing and whether it's a serious takeover attempt or opportunistic marketing strategy.

  • Sam Altman admits AI is in a bubble as massive investments loom

    • Sam Altman acknowledged the current AI surge resembles a bubble, likened it to the 1990s dot-com era.

    • He warned some overfunded startups might fail but believes overall AI infrastructure investment will drive positive economic impact.

    • Altman projected OpenAI will spend trillions on data centers despite speculative market conditions.

  • Norway spy chief blames Russian hackers for hijacking dam systems

    • Russia-linked hackers remotely opened a Bremanger dam floodgate for four hours, releasing millions of gallons of water.

    • Norway’s spy chief directly blamed Russian cyber actors; the incident marks escalating hybrid warfare targeting infrastructure.

    • Officials warn such sabotage aims to sow public fear and instability, signaling evolving security threats.

AND MORE

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